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The way things look now, I wouldn't be surprised if it went either way. There are many people who are dissatisfied with President Obama's leadership, and I think that the media is overly enthusiastic about the president generally speaking, which is imo probably engineered. On the flip side, I would think that a lot of people for better or worse, are afraid of Romney for various reasons; their mentality of the upper class, their worries about Social Spending and so forth. The nation seems to be divided though, which is fun.